Strengthening evidence-based policies for the resilience of European agriculture and forestry and related supply chains against crises and systemic risks

investigación innovación I+D+i desarrollo tecnológico europeo. HORIZON Research and Innovation Actions Expected Outcome: Project results are expected to contribute to all of the following expected outcomes: societal and political actors have a better understanding of how European agriculture and forestry, as well as agri-food and forest-based supply chains, are exposed to and impacted by a combination of complex systemic risks and crises; EU, national, regional and local decision-makers have access to improved analytical capacity and recommendations on policy instruments and strategies for assessing, preventing and managing systemic risks and crises; the compounding, cascading and amplifying roles of climate change for different types of risks and crises and in constraining options for crisis response are better understood, facilitating their systematic integration into decision-making; the compounding, amplifying and/or mitigating role of trade for different types of risks and crises involving supply chain effects is better understood. Scope: The 2020 and 2025 Strategic Foresight Reports [1] put forward resilience as a compass for EU policies. Resilience is defined as the ability not only to withstand and cope with challenges but also to undergo transitions, in a sustainable, fair,